Round and round she goes, who will win, nobody knows |
The convention season is over and neither candidate really
has anything to show for it. Romney got
his 1% bounce in the polls but that was short lived as it got cancelled out by
Obama’s 3% jump. That jump was stifled
by less than satisfactory jobs report that was released yesterday. North
Carolina , a state that was a Republican lock a few
weeks ago now might be leaning Obama. Ohio , a state that was
leaning Obama is now leaning Romney. After
all is said and done neither candidate is any closer to claiming victory then
they were three weeks ago. So what’s a
candidate to do? Hit the campaign trail
hard and start getting ready for the debates.
Obama spent yesterday stumping in New
Hampshire then Iowa but went to
bed last night in Florida . Romney spent the day in Iowa with both candidates hitting those
swing states hard. The Romney camp has
also released a set of ads based off of the conventions targeted at all the
swing states but no tangible results from them have shown up in the polling numbers
yet.
The debates are going to be crucial. They are being held in the last few weeks of
the campaign and have the opportunity to shape the undecided voters opinion. Whether it will happen, given how this
campaign has gone, is anyone’s guess.
The most probable scenario is that there will be a good number of voters
on election day that will decide who to vote for in the voting both and hold
their nose as they drop their ballots in the box. Even Obama’s closest advisors feel that this
campaign will go right down to the wire.
Both candidates only have a few more opportunities to get in
their final digs. By just comparing
speaking style, Obama should have the debates in the bag but again, the way
this campaign has been going, Romney may very well come out on top. If after the debates the poll numbers come up
within 3 points of each other, at that point the only definitive way to know
who the winner will be is to wait until election night.
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